Road traffic crash related injured and fatal victims in Karachi from 2007 to 2014: A time-series analysis.

نویسندگان

  • Rashid Jooma
  • Masood Ali Shaikh
چکیده

Injuries and deaths due to road traffic crashes (RTC) are major public health concern. The Road Traffic Injury Research and Prevention Center, collects RTC data on injuries and fatalities from five emergency departments in Karachi. Data generating process (DGP) for RTC from 2007 to 2014, for monthly number of fatal and injured victims were analyzed using autoregressive integrated moving average and vector auto regression, time series models. Results provide strong evidence that the DGP for the current levels of the number of fatalities and injured owing to RTCs are significantly influenced by the own past history of the two series. The analysis with the impulse-response function also indicated that there is a slight seasonality pattern in the number of injured and fatalities. The similar behaviour and association of the two variables suggest that certain conditions e.g. road conditions, weather, volume of vehicles, and accidents might be persistent in time in Karachi.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

The burden of road trauma due to other people's drinking.

The purpose of this study was to estimate the burden of road traffic injury due to alcohol consumption by someone other than the injured party. We estimated the number and proportion of these traffic deaths and non-fatal traffic injuries, and the associated social costs, for a five-year period (2003-2007) in New Zealand. We found that more than 40% of alcohol-related crash injuries in New Zeala...

متن کامل

O2: Post-Crash and Trauma Care for Children

Road traffic injuries as a man-made calamity impose great burden on poor people and needs to be addressed through social justice and end of poverty. Pointing out that around 186,300 children under the age of 18 are killed every year, and much more are injured, urgent need to work on road safety measures will be revealed. Although preventing road traffic crashes from occurring should be the main...

متن کامل

Health systems research initiative to tackle growing road traffic injuries in India

Road traffic injuries (RTIs) are the sixth leading cause of deaths in India and about 400 deaths take place every day due to road traffic accidents. The present paper analyses the data of the India’s National Crime Record Bureau (NCRB) to assess the burden of RTI. In addition, it reports the health systems research initiated by the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR). As per NCRB data, in...

متن کامل

Investigation of traffic accidents referred to a hospital and forensic medicine organization in Nikshahr during the years 2014-2018

INTRODUCTION: Iran, especially the Sistan-Baluchestan province, is one of the countries with the highest rates of accidents and traffic-related deaths. The present study aimed to evaluate traffic accidents referred to hospitals and the Forensic Medicine Department in Nikshahr in Sistan-Baluchestan province, Iran, during 2014-2018. METHODS: In this retrospective descriptive and analytical study...

متن کامل

The effect of new road traffic laws on fatal and non-fatal injury rates in Iran

Background and aims: This study aimed to evaluate the effect of enforcement of new traffic laws on the fatal and non- fatal injury rates in Iran. Methods: In a longitudinal, interventional controlled trial study, all subjects with history of fatal and non-fatal injuries were studied. Their injuries were caused by six risky violations (unauthorized speed, illegal overtaking, red traffic light c...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

عنوان ژورنال:
  • JPMA. The Journal of the Pakistan Medical Association

دوره 67 4  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2017